Why I Used Econometrics Instead of ML to Estimate Export Potential — And What I Learned Implementing It

Mon, 10 Feb 2025 00:00:00 +0000

In 2020, I was handed a PDF — an ILO working paper titled Spotting Export Potential and Implications for Employment in Developing Countries (Cheong, Decreux & Spies, 2018) — and asked to turn it into a working algorithm.

The paper describes a methodology developed by the International Trade Centre to identify a country’s unrealized export opportunities, and then estimate how many jobs realizing those opportunities would create. Across six developing countries. At the product-market-sector level.

Input-Output Analysis on Inês Garcia

Why I Used Econometrics Instead of ML to Estimate Export Potential — And What I Learned Implementing It